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Financial Markets 04/15 09:30
NEW YORK (AP) -- U.S. stocks are flirting with a record Wednesday following
their big rally over the last two weeks as hopes built that the global economy
can avoid a worst-case scenario because of the U.S.-Iran war.
The S&P 500 rose 0.1% in morning trading and at one point was on track to
eclipse its all-time high set in January. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was
down 174 points, or 0.4%, as of 10:05 a.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq
composite was 0.5% higher.
The U.S. bond market also held relatively steady as mediators moved closer
to extending the ceasefire between the United States and Iran and restarting
negotiations before the agreement expires next week.
After falling nearly 10% below its record in late March, a drop steep enough
that Wall Street calls it a "correction," the S&P 500 has roared roughly 10%
higher. That move was mostly on expectations for calming tensions to come in
the war and a resumption of the full flow of oil from Persian Gulf producers to
customers worldwide through the Strait of Hormuz.
If those expectations get undercut, which has happened before in the war,
stocks could easily resume their fall. Oil prices drifted up and down on
Wednesday and showed that caution remains in financial markets.
The price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, was flat
at $94.79. That's still well above its roughly $70 price from before the war,
though it's down from its $119 peak when worries about the fighting have been
at their heights.
But if U.S.-Iran talks do happen and if they are successful, the war could
end up being only a temporary setback for the global economy instead of a new
normal of very high oil prices and inflation. And that in turn could allow
investors to return their attention to what ultimately matters most for stock
prices: money.
Through all the day-to-day noise that can affect investors' opinions, stock
prices tend to move with the direction of corporate profits over the long term.
And positive trends there had stock markets worldwide doing well before the war
began. Analysts also see continued growth ahead, for now at least.
Bank of America rose 1.2% Wednesday after saying it made $8.6 billion in
profit during the first three months of the year. That's up 17% from a year
earlier and more than analysts expected.
CEO Brian Moynihan said the bank saw signs of a "resilient American
economy," including solid spending by U.S. consumers. Trends were encouraging
enough that the bank set aside less money to cover potential credit losses
during the quarter than it did a year earlier.
Morgan Stanley jumped 4.3% after the investment bank likewise delivered a
better-than-expected quarter of results.
Companies hurt earlier in the year by worries about artificial-intelligence
technology also rose to recover more of their losses for 2026. Some of the
worries were about companies potentially spending too much to build out their
AI capabilities, while others focused on businesses that may go obsolete
because of AI-powered competition.
The concerns got so deep that they shook private-credit companies that have
lent money to software businesses and others that may be unable to pay their
debts because of AI.
ServiceNow climbed 6.1%, Oracle rose 4.7% and Ares Management gained 4.8%
for some of the market's bigger gains. All are still down between 12% and 40%
for the year so far.
Nike rose 2.7% after CEO Elliott Hill and Tim Cook -- a Nike director and
the CEO of Apple -- disclosed that they purchased a combined 48,000 shares of
the athletic shoe maker at a cost of about $1 million each. Nike shares are
still down nearly 29% this year.
On the losing end of Wall Street was PNC Financial Services Group. It
slipped 0.8% following a mixed quarterly report, where its profit topped
analysts' expectations but its revenue fell short.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe following modest gains
in Asia.
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury edged up to 4.27% from
4.26% late Tuesday.
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AP Business Writers Yuri Kageyama and Matt Ott contributed to this report.
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This version corrects the last name of Nike's CEO, which is Hill.
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