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DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/03 10:51
Corn, Soybean Futures Lower at Midday Wednesday; Wheat Flat-Lower
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
2 to 3 cents lower; wheat futures are flat to 4 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
2 to 3 cents lower; wheat futures are flat to 4 cents lower. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P 13 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 45 points lower. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is
firmer with crude .80 higher and natural gas is .16 higher. Livestock trade is
firmer with cattle leading. Precious metals are firmer with gold up 39.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Wednesday, pulling back from
the firmer action Tuesday with little fresh news as we are back to testing
support. Ethanol margins are getting a boost from corn fading and unleaded
coming off the lower end of the range. The daily export wire was quiet again
Wednesday. Basis will likely remain steady to firm with good nearby demand and
poor weather slowing movement. On the March chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $4.44, which we are testing at midday, with the Upper Bollinger Band
at $4.54 as the next round up.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 2 to 3 cents lower with trade drifting toward the lower
end of the recent range with comments about China demand being on pace not
doing anything to move the market. Meal is .50 to 1.50 higher and oil is 65 to
75 points lower. South American weather continues to keep concerns limited for
now with some dry pockets persisting. Basis gains will likely slow further as
crush gains fade and export shipments need to catch up further with little
progress in catching up shipping so far. The daily export wire was quiet. On
the January chart resistance is the $11.69 1/2 area where we find the recent
high with the 20-day moving average at $11.30 as support, which we are fading
solidly below at midday.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 4 cents lower at midday with the Black Sea
shipping concerns from Tuesday going back to wait-and-see mode for now as the
peace talks seemed to have stalled again with drone attacks picking up against
Russian shipping. Weather turning colder for the Plains should push things
toward dormancy across the Plains with snow cover limited for now. MATIF wheat
is flat at midday. On the KC March chart, resistance is the 20-day moving
average at $5.34, with support at the lower Bollinger Band at $5.17, which we
bounced from last week.
**
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Cyclical challenges in the grain market and shifting power dynamics in the
cattle complex highlight the necessity of preparedness, not only to mitigate
risk, but also to maximize opportunities.
In our capstone DTN Ag Summit event, we'll hear directly from young farmers
and ranchers about the approaches they're taking to set their businesses up for
success and from DTN experts with critical outlooks to help you craft your game
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Featured DTN speakers include Lead Analyst Rhett Montgomery, Ag
Meteorologist John Baranick and Livestock Analyst ShayLe Stewart for respective
outlooks on the grain market, weather and cattle. Senior Editor Dan Miller
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discuss new avenues of business and pivots each have made to welcome more
agritourism to their operations.
**
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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