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Cash Bids & Our Comments

Electronic futures can be viewed by using Futures on top bar on home page and all futures markets can be viewed by clicking Futures Quotes. Read our futures brokers comments daily under Daily Commentary.

10/3 - Wht & corn closed mixed today after being up 5-15c most of the morning. Wht & corn down 70- 80c for the wk. The rescue plan passed, now waiting for the Pres to sign it.  This drop related to World financial meltdown.  None of us know what is going to happen, but all markets are a vaccuum now.  Trend definately down with plenty of foreign cheap sellers and capital tightening up.  US wheat xport pace only 75% of last years pace, not good.    Many of these large financial companies have commodity index funds, and if they liquidate, will drive markets down further.   All world grain prices are dropping in unison. SW mkt down to 6.20 PNW with nothing trading.  Since Aug 21 closes, wht futs are down $2.80/bu and SWW is down $2.20/bu.  Corn futs are down 80c/bu same time frame.  Lots of wheat trading into Africa, Middle East, and Paki, but most coming from big crops in Europe, Black Sea, and FSU Countries with cheaper Ocean frgt vs. US.  Arg and Aussie wht crops are definately shrinking with no rain materializing.   Hate to say it, but time to do nothing and close your eyes for 60-90 days. 

PNW SWW crop has a high protein problem ave +11% pro.  Pacific Rim buyers want max 10.5% or less pro.  Ocean frgt rates have dropped 30% in past 10 days a possitive sign, but PNW frgt rates still too high to sell Sw to Egypt, Middle East, and Paki, who will take this high pro sw.  In past 60 days Paki has bot 1.7 mil MT and only have 800,000 MT left to buy.  We need PL 480 terms to compete into Paki, but Paki not on best political terms right now. Protein problems will keep SW price flat for a while & doubt sw goes up much next 30days but should stabilize. 

Bottom line is financial melt down dragging prices down and the World has 2 bil more bu wht this year to sell will keep lid on prices. Corn crop still big, and I wouldn't count on freeze to kill it. Index Funds long 800 mil bu of wheat futs, could also drag price down if they forced to sell.  Expect legislation by next year to limit spec trading in futures. Export picture has been slow for US grains. Futures limits are 60c on wht and 30c YC. Ethanol demand for 4-5 bil bu YC this year will be a driver keeping all grain prices higher for years to come.

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Local Cash Bids
 
Dlvd TCG Delivery Cash  
 SWW DLVD Oct
  Nov
  Dec
  Jan09
  New crop 09
 DNS - 14% DLVD Oct
  Nov
  Dec
  Jan 09
  NC09
 HRW - 11.5% DLVD Oct
  Nov
  Dec
  Jan 09
  NC 09
 Barley FOB Bin Nov thru Dec
 Yellow Corn FOB Bin OND 08
  Jan 09
  OND 2010

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New Crop Thoughts
2008 wht highs were made on Feb26 & 27 at + $10/bu SWW, + $12.50 /bu HRW, & +$13.70/bu DNS all deld Pasco prices. The market has dropped approx $3-4/bu with better world crops.   Doubt these highs will be broken as world crop 2 bil bu larger than last year. YC crop weather been ideal for record yield and price off $3/bu ($100/ST) since late June flooding.  think both corn and wheat stuck in $1/bu range next 6 months, with corn more upside potential.  Think wheat trend has to be down now. PNW SWW crop not very good and Aussie crop size will determine SWW price direction.   Aussie production guess won't be known to Sep 1, but they look better than the past 2 yeas so far.    
  We starting to publish 2009 wht prices. We have factored in an extra 15c/bu now for us to cover the risk of interest on margin calls and ever increasing fuel prices.    Weather, Funds, & Ethanol will be the drivers for a long time. Buckle in to see 50c price swings weekly if not daily?!  Contact Dana Herron or Craig Teel at Tri-State Seed 866-627-4500 for all your seed needs.    Please call us with your sell orders.  DF

Fuel surcharges have added approx 9c/bu to our Aug barge costs & 10-15c/bu to our truck costs since 2 yrs ago.  Frustating as difficult to hedge these costs. Pray fuel comes back down


Headline News
Bush Signs Rescue Plan 10/04 09:47
Gates Meets NATO Amid Russia Tension 10/06 06:29
European, Asian Markets Plunge 10/06 06:31
Afghans Start Registering 2009 Voters 10/06 05:36
Pakistan: No Strikes Deal Made with US 10/06 05:29
European Banks Offer $60B to Markets 10/06 05:31
GOP, Dems Battle Over Voter Dress Code 10/04 09:45
Wall Street Set to Follow Sell-Off 10/06 06:27

Quotes
 
C - CORN - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 467'6 453'0 454'0s 0'0
Mar 487'0 471'4 472'4s -0'4
May 498'0 484'4 484'6s -0'2
Jul 509'0 496'0 496'0s 0'0
Sep 514'4 507'4 504'0s 1'0
Dec 520'4 510'4 511'0s 1'4
Mar 525'4s 1'4
 
S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Nov 1023'0 991'0 992'0s -12'0
Jan 1038'0 1006'0 1008'4s -12'2
Mar 1053'0 1021'0 1021'4s -14'2
 
W - WHEAT - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 654'0 636'0 640'2s 4'2
Mar 675'6 660'0 661'6s 4'0
May 677'4 677'4 676'2s 4'4
Jul 701'4 688'4 688'6s 4'4
Sep 705'6s 1'2
Dec 739'0 730'0 726'6s 2'4
Mar 744'6s 1'4
 
KW - WHEAT - KCBT
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 686'0 670'0 670'4s 1'6
Mar 705'4 691'0 690'0s 1'2
May 718'0 710'0 703'0s 1'6
Jul 726'0 711'0 711'4s -4'4
Sep 737'0 736'0 723'4s 0'4
Dec 755'0 752'0 740'4s 0'0
Mar 755'0s -3'0
 
MW - WHEAT - SPRING - MGE
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 714'0 700'4 702'6s -1'2
Mar 730'0 717'0 718'6s -1'0
May 740'0 726'0 729'6s 0'6
Jul 746'0 735'0 735'0s -3'0
Sep 755'0 742'0 742'0s 0'0
Dec 756'4s 0'0
Mar 771'2s -3'0
 
@C - CORN - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 448'0 427'6 431'0 -23'0
Mar 466'4 446'6 449'4 -23'0
May 480'0 460'0 461'4 -23'2
 
@KW - WHEAT - KCBT
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 667'6 642'2 642'2 -28'2
Mar 690'0 667'2 667'2 -22'6
May 697'0 697'0 697'0 -6'0
 
@MW - WHEAT - SPRING - MGE
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 700'6 679'2 679'2 -23'4
Mar 715'4 697'4 700'0 -18'6
May 723'0 723'0 723'0 -6'6
 
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Nov 983'0 925'0 927'0 -65'0
Jan 997'4 941'4 941'6 -66'6
Mar 1009'2 954'4 955'2 -66'2
 
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Dec 633'2 608'0 609'4 -30'6
Mar 653'4 631'0 631'0 -30'6
May 673'0 647'6 647'6 -28'4

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Spring Cleaning Feature: Rain Gutters Solution



Local Conditions
Pasco, WA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 52oF Feels Like: 52oF
Humid: 80% Dew Pt: 46oF
Barom: 30.06 Wind Dir: N
Cond: Cloudy Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 7:02 Sunset: 6:26
As reported at PASCO, WA at 5:00 AM
 
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Pasco, WA
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Local Forecast
Pasco, WA

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High: 70oF
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DTN Weather Summary
Rain in Western Midwest Monday
Bryce Anderson (Bio) – DTN Meteorologist

Showers are expected to develop through the western areas of the Midwest Monday, while central and eastern areas continue dry and warm. This rain is expected to move into the eastern Midwest Tuesday and Wednesday. » More DTN Weather Commentary

Posted at 5:38AM Mon Oct 6, 2008 CDT

 
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