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Cash Bids & Our Comments

 

To read our futures brokers daily market opinions, click on Daily Commentary Tab on the left.  Without major crop problems around the world this next year, hard to believe there is major upside price movement for US wheats.  Sell the 30c rallies.     Bear with me as trying set better format for prices.  scroll down on home page to look at electronic futures daytime and starting again at 4 PM PST. Df      

Jly 2- Tired of writing that wht futs down 6-11c today. Corn futs down 11c.  We at wht support lvls but corn approx 20c above support with new acreage forecast.   6/30 Crop report a bust with corn acres at 87 mil vs 84 mil ac trade guess. Corn futs were down 54c for the wk and wht futs were down 34-47c for this wk.  Guess the Spring rains didn't reduce acreage for corn.  Read this is most acres planted to corn since 1946, so 12 bil bu crop again is possible. Spring wht acres at 13.7 mil acres vs 13.1 mil trade guess still smaller than last years 14.1 mil ac planed.  Lots of uncertainty and slow exports around the world. Congressional hearings on Spec limits for futures trading underway. Right now index Funds exempt from limits, but that might change?  If limits mandated, could be major selloff in all futures prices on all commodities.  Can't see Congress getting anything done before Summer Recess?  SW market quiet at 5.65 PNW. Egypt buying French and Russian wht at 75c/bu cheaper than our SW. HRW harvesting smaller crop and lower protein in Tex,Ok, & Kans. DNS country has plenty of moisture in US.  Tough to predict market right now, but it's probably a buy.   Don't see world production getting too beat up now.  Wht futs have lost $1.60-1.70/bu since 6/2 highs.   Corn futs are down $1.05 from June2 highs.  Spec Funds moving the market and have sold 270 mil bu wht futs since Jun2.  Talk of US ethanol mandate to 15% by 2015 from Obama administration should help corn price in a couple of years.  The grain market is a financial market and when the $USD goes up, grain prices go down. 
Club wheat reached $2/bu prem for new crop, but now $1.50 prem.  Grain following the lead of financials and oil prices.  Austral talking good crop nxt yr, while Canada says theirs will be down.  Ethanol sector operating at 75-80% of capacity and have positive margins again.  Ocean frgt values stabilized and climbing again.   Big Wht crops in Europe, Black Sea,  FSU Countries, Aussie, and Cdn will dominate export demand.  Wht prices will be under pressure with harvest around the corner.    

Bottom line is financial melt down dragging prices down and the World has 2 bil more bu wht this past year to sell, will keep lid on prices. Corn crop still big and ethanol plants struggling to make a profit.  Futures limits are 60c on wht and 30c YC. Ethanol demand for 4 bil bu YC this year helps to keep prices higher even for wheat than the past 10 years.     

Elevator Hours 8am -5pm Mon thru Fri.
Office Hours: 7am - 4:30pm Mon thru Fri.

 

Local Cash Bids
 
  Dlvd TCG
SWW DLVD DNS - 14% DLVD HRW - 11.5% DLVD BARLEY FOB BIN YELLOW CORN FOB BIN
Cash Price Converted Price Cash Price Converted Price Cash Price Converted Price Cash Price Converted Price Cash Price Converted Price
New Crop 09            
OND 2009                
Oct            
Jan 2010        
New crop 2010          
New Crop 2011                
Price as of 07/04/09 03:22AM CDT.
Month Symbols
Click to view more Cash Bids

 

to get your local cash bid emailed to you each morning from DTN.

 

New Crop Thoughts
NC 2009-  Wheat prices gained $1.25/bu since May1 to Jun2 peak, and now down 90c in 2 wks.  Pasco prices reached $6 for SW, $7.20 HRW, and $8.40 DNS.  Got to believe ther is potential for another 40-50c rally prior to hvst. Spec Funds sold over 200 mil bu of wht futs since Jun3 really moved mkt back down again. World New crop wheat picture shrinking some and will be tighter than earlier forecasts.  Figure out what wheat prices are profitable for you before selling and let us know what you want us to do.  CRC crop insurance helps protect you on the downside. SW in $6/bu PNW range and growers not selling new crop will keep SW price firm. Weather markets ahead on corn and soybeans will more than likely cause some rallies on dryness and wetness issues.   2009 Corn prices in the $180's is a sale for sure. 2010 prices in $170's also looks good.  About the only thing we know, is the markets will be volatile moving in dollar/bu ranges.  DF
    
Fuel surcharges have decreased 6c/bu since Aug 2008, but starting to climb again.  

Headline News
Iran: Embassy Staff to be Tried 07/03 10:21
US Marines Push into Afghan Towns 07/03 10:19
Israel May Ease Gaza Embargo 07/03 10:26
Biden Discusses US Future in Iraq 07/03 10:22
Obama Appeals to Russians 07/03 10:18
SKorea: NKorea May File More Missiles 07/03 10:30
Russia to Allow US Arms Shipments 07/03 10:24
Jobless Data Sends Stocks Reeling 07/02 17:44

Quotes
 
@C - CORN - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 345'6s -6'0
Sep 345'6s -10'6
Dec 357'4s -11'6
Mar 371'0s -11'4
May 380'4s -11'4
Jul 389'6s -12'0
Sep 395'0s -11'0
Dec 400'2s -10'0
Mar 411'2s -9'4
 
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 500'2s -6'0
Sep 529'0s -6'4
Dec 555'0s -6'4
Mar 572'6s -6'6
May 584'4s -6'6
Jul 594'6s -6'2
Sep 608'6s -6'6
Dec 632'0s -6'6
Mar 635'0s -6'6
 
@KW - WHEAT - KCBT
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 563'6 556'0 554'6s -9'0
Sep 578'4 563'4 564'2s -9'2
Dec 595'2 580'0 580'6s -9'2
Mar 606'2 596'4 596'6s -9'4
May 617'4 607'2 607'4s -9'2
Jul 628'4 615'6 615'6s -8'2
Sep 628'6 622'4 622'6s -8'2
Dec 647'4 640'2 639'4s -8'2
Jul 647'4s -8'2
 
@MW - WHEAT - SPRING - MGE
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 622'2 618'0 618'0s -8'6
Sep 635'4 618'2 622'4s -11'0
Dec 647'2 628'2 632'2s -13'6
Mar 656'4 640'0 644'2s -14'6
May 662'6 647'4 650'2s -14'4
Jul 667'2 651'0 654'6s -15'4
Sep 669'4 654'2 657'4s -16'2
Dec 678'0 663'0 666'6s -12'0
Mar 677'2s -14'0
 
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
Jul 1243'0s -15'4
Aug 1154'0s -6'4
Sep 1061'0s -7'4
Nov 1006'0s -9'4
Jan 1007'6s -9'6
Mar 1001'0s -10'0
May 983'4s -8'0
Jul 979'0s -6'0
Aug 967'0s -6'0

Reminder
You can look at your unloads & grades through this web page. Call Joan & set up your password! Also you can look on our home page under the prices and click on your county to check on ldp's.

TriCities Grain Photo Gallery

  

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Local Conditions
Pasco, WA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 62oF Feels Like: 62oF
Humid: 84% Dew Pt: 57oF
Barom: 29.84 Wind Dir: N
Cond: Clear Wind Spd: 7 mph
Sunrise: 5:10 Sunset: 8:51
As reported at PASCO, WA at 1:00 AM
 
Local Radar
Pasco, WA
Radar
 
Local Forecast
Pasco, WA

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High: 102oF
Low: 59oF
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DTN Weather Summary
Rains in Northern Plains Friday
Bryce Anderson (Bio) – DTN Meteorologist

Friday will feature thunderstorms with light to moderate rain in the Northern Plains. This unsettled weather pattern will continue into the Independence Day holiday Saturday over the northern and western Plains through western Midwest. » More DTN Weather Commentary

Posted at 1:32PM Thu Jul 2, 2009 CDT

 
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